Checking the numbers through orange-tinted glasses since 2008
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Yesterday, Britt Ghiroli reported that Mike Gonzalez was getting close to returning (perhaps by the end of the month) and that he touched 88 mph in his latest bullpen session. If both of those facts are true, I have one prediction: disaster.
As you can see, his fastball velocity is between 93 and 95 miles per hour, and almost exclusively above 94 mph. Now, here is his chart from three months later, July 28, 2009:
His velocity is a bit lower, 90-94 mph. Now from the end of last season, September 26, 2009:
Hmmmm... lower still at 88-92 mph. And here is his velocity graph from April 9, 2009:
Sigh. 87-91 mph, and he got it up over 90 just once. Why, exactly, do the Orioles think that Mike Gonzalez at 88 mph 1) is healthy and 2) can be effective? And, it should also be asked, if I can pull this information in between meetings and running reports before 8:00 AM, why the hell did the Orioles sign an injury-prone relief pitcher who showed notable velocity declines during what was easily his highest workload season to a 2-year, $12 million contract? This is exactly the type of decision making that has me thisclose to jumping ship.